Jalen Brunson and the New York Knicks take the court in a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview on the road against the Detroit Pistons, who have the best record in the East, on Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Pistons are 37-13, while the Knicks are tied for second in the conference at 33-18 this season. Brunson is coming off a huge 42-point performance, but that came in double-overtime against the Nuggets on Wednesday after four games of failing to score more than 26 points.
The latest NBA odds list Brunson’s over/under at 26.5 points for tonight, and the SportsLine Projection Model is predicting that he goes Under the total for Friday NBA player props. It’s also backing Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard Over 4.5 assists and Heat center Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 rebounds in Friday NBA player prop bets. Bet NBA props with the latest FanDuel promo code, which gives new users $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 wager wins:
Targeting NBA player props will be a popular way to approach Friday’s NBA betting at online sports betting sites. With NBA odds available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, the model can help you find value to add to your Friday NBA picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the DraftKings promo code, where new users can bet $5, and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet of at least $5 wins:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 38-16 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Best NBA player prop picks on Friday:
- Jalen Brunson, Knicks, Under 26.5 points
- Kawhi Leonard, Clippers, Over 4.5 assists
- Bam Adebayo, Heat, Under 10.5 rebounds
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Jalen Brunson, Knicks, Under 26.5 points (-102)
Brunson scored 42 points on Wednesday, but he needed 27 shots, 47 minutes and double overtime to do so. He likely won’t see this type of game script on Friday against the Pistons, who have the No. 4 scoring defense at 110.3 points per game allowed this season. Brunson didn’t break 26 points in any of his prior four games before Wednesday against Denver. He averaged 23.3 ppg in January, and he’s gone Under this total in 11 of 16 games since the start of January. The model projects Brunson for 23.9 points on Friday.
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Kawhi Leonard, Clippers, Over 4.5 assists (-111)
The Clippers traded away James Harden near the NBA trade deadline, which will put more facilitating responsiblity of Leonard. Although Leonard is thought of as more of a scorer, he’s a capable passer as well, averaging more than three assists per game in seven straight seasons. He’s gone Over this total in three of his last four games, averaging five assists per game during that span. The Clippers play the Kings, who rank 27th in scoring defense (120.5 ppg allowed). The Kings also allow 27.4 assists per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. Leonard had five assists in his first game against the Kings this season, and the model expects him to go Over again, projecting him for 5.2 assists in simulations.
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Bam Adebayo, Heat, Under 10.5 rebounds (-137)
He’s gone Over this total in four of his last five games, but Boston is a challenging team to secure rebounds against. Boston held Alperen Sengun, who is 10th in the league in rebounding at 9.4 per game, to nine rebounds in its last game on Wednesday. Adebayo went Under this total in both games against the Celtics this season, including securing just four rebounds over 33 minutes in their last matchup on Jan. 15. He also went Under this total in three of four matchups last season. The model projects Adebayo for 8.6 rebounds on Friday.
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NBA expert Mike Barner is 32-10 (+2018) in his last 42 NBA player prop picks this season. See his latest NBA predictions here.
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