The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Monday. These teams have swapped wins and losses through four games, with the Thunder picking up a 111-104 win over the Pacers on June 13. The series is now tied 2-2. Tipoff for Game 5 is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, where the home team went 35-6 in the regular season. The Thunder are favored by 9 points in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under is 225. If you need a BetMGM bonus code for the game, you can use “CBSSPORTS” and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, here are the model’s top-three picks in the Pacers vs. Thunder SGP on Monday, and also check out our odds for Game 5.
Best Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals Game 5 NBA SGP:
- Tyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 points (-110)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-290)
- Jalen Williams 4+ Assists (-310)
- SGP payout: +204 (odds subject to change)
Tyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 points (-118)
Haliburton goes into this game averaging 17.8 points and shooting 50% from the field in the 2025 NBA Finals. The 25-year-old has scored over 17.5 points twice this series and 11 times in the postseason. In his last outing, Haliburton tallied 18 points and went 1-of-7 from 3-point land. With a better shooting outing from downtown, he should clear 17.5 points. Use a DraftKings promo code to get even more bang for your buck on this line with $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-275)
Gilgeous-Alexander knows how to score at a high clip. In the 2025 NBA Finals, he’s averaging 32.8 points, 48.4% from the field, 35.3% from downtown, and 91.7% from the free-throw line. The 26-year-old has gone over 30 points in three of his last four outings, including 35 points in the Game 4 victory. In both games at home in the NBA Finals, Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 34 points.
Jalen Williams 4+ Assists (-310)
Williams can handle the rock and create as a passer consistently. In the 2025 NBA Playoffs, he’s second on the team in assists (5.1) and does a good job taking some ball-handling pressure off Gilgeous-Alexander. The 24-year-old has gone over four assists in seven of his last 10 playoff games. He’s cleared that mark at home in Games 1 and 2 against Indiana. A FanDuel promo code can help you unlock even more value on this prop with up to $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Want more NBA picks for Game 5?
You’ve seen some of the model’s top NBA playoff best bets for Game 5. Now, get spread, total and money-line picks for Pacers vs. Thunder here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s top NBA picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who’s on a sizzling 142-112-2 (+1880) roll on his last 256 NBA picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up nearly 19 units.
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