The San Diego Padres will be looking to break out of a slump when they face the Minnesota Twins on Saturday night. San Diego lost the series opener on Friday, which was its fourth loss in its last five games. Star outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. drove in two runs and had his second consecutive multi-hit game, though. He also homered against the Mariners on Monday, giving him 18 homers overall this season. Tatis is +475 to go yard in the Saturday MLB home run odds.
SportsLine’s Inside the Lines team is backing Tatis as one of their top MLB HR bets on Saturday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest bet365 bonus code to receive $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 52.75 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Jazz Chisholm (+400) to homer on Thursday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Saturday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Saturday, August 30:
MLB Best Home Run Bets 8/30
For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.
Junior Caminero, Rays (+290, FanDuel)
Caminero is hitting just .204 on the road, but he’s still managed 19 HRs away from home. He’s hit 28 of his 39 HRs this season against right-handed pitchers. Jake Irvin has allowed 29 HRs this season, ranking 2nd in the majors. He didn’t allow a HR in his last start, which makes him a prime candidate to give one up today. We set Caminero’s line at +190, but when factoring in the weather, it’s closer to +225—still strong value at +290, and you can get over $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins when you bet $5 using the latest FanDuel promo code:
Brandon Lowe, Rays (+375, BetMGM)
Lowe has homered in each of the last two games and is typically a solid value play against right-handed pitchers. He’s hitting .289 with a .904 OPS against RHPs, compared to just .194 with a .552 OPS against lefties. Lowe has also been excellent on the road, posting an .895 OPS this season. We set Lowe’s line at +300 to homer for a third consecutive game. Use this BetMGM bonus code to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses.
Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres (+475, DraftKings)
Tatis recently broke out of a long homerless drought and is swinging a hot bat. He’s hit 16 of his 18 HRs this season against RHPs, despite being a right-handed hitter himself. Taj Bradley has struggled since being traded to the Twins, and we think Tatis is in a good spot to tap into his power again. We set the line at +415 for Tatis to homer, so you’re getting value from this price at DraftKings, which is offering $300 in bonus bets plus $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Where to bet MLB props on Saturday
Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Saturday:
More MLB picks for Saturday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Saturday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Angelo Magliocca, who is on a 60-42 roll (+1388) on MLB picks.
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