The Jacksonville Jaguars were one of the biggest disappointments both in a win-loss perspective and for Fantasy football players last year. Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. was arguably the biggest bust in Fantasy football last season based on his ADP in the first three rounds of Fantasy football drafts. Many Fantasy football busts occur due to injury, which is unforeseen, but Etienne had just 812 total yards despite playing in 15 games. He had just two touchdowns after posting more than 1,400 total yards in each of his first two NFL seasons, so how should you feel about Etienne entering 2025 Fantasy football drafts?
Trevor Lawrence, once considered a can’t-miss NFL Draft prospect, finished as QB27 in Fantasy football after playing just 10 games. He averaged 204.5 passing yards, the fewest of his four-year career, so where should he be placed in 2025 Fantasy football rankings? Wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. was one of the lone bright spots as he’ll be viewed as a top target, but that could also mean the potential for a 2025 Fantasy football bust if he’s overdrafted based on his rookie season. Before setting your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud might take a step back in his second season. He finished as QB18 and anybody who avoided drafting him early dodged a major headache in their Fantasy football lineups. The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021 and calling Rachaad White’s breakout in 2023. Additionally, it has called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2025 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2025 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2025 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2025 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Vikings running back Aaron Jones. The veteran running back will start the season at that dreaded 30-year-old age and turns 31 in December, but Jones proved even after his 30th birthday last year that he has plenty of burst left. Jones had at least 75 total yards in each of his five regular-season games played as a 30-year-old and he rushed for a career-high 1,138 yards in his eighth NFL season.
Jones was a free agent this offseason, so the Vikings could have gone with a younger, cheaper running back if they wanted, but Minnesota decided to bring back Jones on a two-year, $20 million deal with $13 million guaranteed. He had his second-most yards from scrimmage (1,546) over his career last year and although Sam Darnold signing with the Seahawks means a significant change for Minnesota, not many people were optimistic about Darnold and Minnesota last year. Those underestimating the Vikings and their offensive pieces like Jones could be second-guessing themselves as the season unfolds yet again, as the model projects Jones as a top running back sleeper for 2025 Fantasy football drafts. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2025 here.
Top 2025 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2025 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Chargers running back Omarion Hampton. Jim Harbaugh has always been heavily committed to running the football authoritatively, so it stands out when he spends first-round draft capital on a running back. Los Angeles selected Hampton No. 22 overall in the 2025 NFL Draft after back-to-back 1,500-yard seasons at North Carolina, and the eventual expectation is that he’ll step into a three-down role with the Chargers, though he’ll face some early competition for reps.
Hampton piled up 4,200 scrimmage yards and scored 40 touchdowns in three seasons with the Tar Heels and then cemented his status as an NFL-caliber running back with an impressive showing at the NFL Combine. He ran a 4.46-second 40-yard dash at 221 pounds while also registering a 38-inch vertical leap and 10-foot-10 in the broad jump. Now the model ranks him as a top-30 Fantasy football running back ahead of established veterans like Isiah Pacheco and teammate Najee Harris. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2025 here.
Top 2025 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson as one of its 2025 Fantasy football busts. The fourth-year receiver will be playing for his third different QB1 over the last three years with Justin Fields expected to start Week 1 for the Jets. Even with all the changes at quarterback, Wilson has more than 1,000 receiving yards in all three NFL seasons, and he had a career-high 1,104 yards with Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback last year.
Fields is a significant downgrade in terms of pure passing ability though, and with Wilson being selected among the top 15 wide receivers in 2025 Fantasy football drafts, the model views this as a significant bust potential, having Wilson barely ranked inside the top 25 at the position. Fields averages 155.6 passing yards per game over his career, which is even fewer than Zach Wilson did in New York. Fields can elevate an offense with teams needing to account for his legs, which can help the Jets possibly win a few more games, but for Wilson’s Fantasy football value at receiver, the model projects Wilson as a 2025 Fantasy football bust. See more Fantasy football busts 2025 here.
How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising wide receiver you aren’t even thinking about being taken in the early rounds of 2025 Fantasy football drafts. This wide receiver is listed as a shocking top-15 option ahead of stars like A.J. Brown and Tyreek Hill. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2025 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which WR shocks the NFL with a top-15 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called C.J. Stroud’s disappointing sophomore season in 2024, and find out.
Add Comment