The No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers and the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans link up in the Elite Eight of the 2025 NCAA Tournament on Sunday. The Tigers have won all three tournament games by double figures. In the Sweet 16, Auburn eliminated Michigan, 78-65. The Spartans narrowly defeated Ole Miss, 73-70, on Friday. Auburn is looking to make the Final Four for the first time since 2019, which is also the last time Michigan State made the Final Four.
Tipoff from the State Farm Arena in Atlanta is at 5:05 p.m. ET. The latest Michigan State vs. Auburn odds via SportsLine consensus list the Tigers as 5.5-point favorites, while the over/under for total points scored is 146.5. The over/under for total points scored in the first half is 69.5. Before making any Auburn vs. Michigan State picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the Sweet 16 round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament on a 228-168 roll (+1815) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. This model has also produced brackets that have beaten over 91% of CBS Sports entries in four of the last six tournaments and has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. Anyone following could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Michigan State vs. Auburn and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Michigan State vs. Auburn:
- Michigan State vs. Auburn spread: Tigers -5.5
- Michigan State vs. Auburn over/under: 146.5 points
- Michigan State vs. Auburn money line: Tigers -234, Spartans +191
- Michigan State vs. Auburn picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Michigan State can cover
The Spartans have gone 8-2 against the spread versus ranked opponents this season. Senior guard Jaden Atkins is an agile ball-handler in the backcourt. Atkins averages a team-high 12.8 points with 3.6 rebounds per game. In the win over Ole Miss, Atkins had 13 points, four rebounds, and three assists.
Freshman guard Jase Richardson owns a quick first step to get into the paint. Richardson logs 12.2 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per contest. The Colorado native has scored 20-plus points in two of his last four outings. On March 28 against Ole Miss, Richardson had 20 points and six boards. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why Auburn can cover
The Tigers are 13-8 against the spread with the same amount of rest as their opponent. Senior forward Johni Broome is a lengthy and active force around the rim. The Florida native was eighth in the nation in rebounds (10.8) to go along with 18.5 points per game. He’s also knocking down 50.5% of his field goals attempts. In his previous outing, Broome had 22 points and 16 rebounds.
Senior guard Denver Jones is a playmaker who can knock down jumpers on the outside. Jones puts up 11.0 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game. The Alabama native has scored at least 15 points in consecutive games. On March 22 against Creighton, Jones totaled 15 points and three assists, while going 2-of-2 from beyond the arc. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Michigan State vs. Auburn picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, predicting that the teams will combine for 149 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. See which side to back at SportsLine.
So who wins Auburn vs. Michigan State, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $1,900 on top-rated spread picks since 2023, and find out.
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