Another PGA Signature Event unfolds this week when the 2026 Genesis Invitational tees off on Thursday at 10:15 a.m. ET at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, Calif. The purse is $20 million, with Ludvig Aberg returning as the defending champion. Collin Morikawa enters this tournament off of a win at Pebble Beach, and he’s finished inside the top 20 at The Genesis Invitational the past four years, including a T2 at this event in 2022.
The latest 2026 Genesis Invitational odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Scottie Scheffler as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300), with Rory McIlroy at +1100. Xander Schauffele and Tommy Fleetwood are +1700, with Morikawa at +2700 and Aberg at +3500. Before locking in any 2026 Genesis Invitational picks, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Genesis Invitational field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2026 Genesis Invitational predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at The Genesis Invitational 2026: Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024 and is coming off back-to-back top-10 performances, finishes outside the top 5 this week. Though he has the one win in this event, he’s also missed the cut twice since 2021, and a slow start pushed him out of the top 10 last year at the Genesis. The model is not high on Matsuyama’s value at +2000 in the PGA odds. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model is extremely high on Chris Gotterup at +3500. He is one of the hottest players on the PGA Tour, winning two of the four events he’s appeared in this year. The success dates back to later in 2025 as he had four top-10 finishes between July and the end of the year, including a win at the Scottish Open and a third-place finish at the Open Championship. He’s fifth in driving distance this season and sixth in Strokes Gained: Total, making him a strong value at the Genesis Invitational 2026. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Genesis Invitational picks
The model is also targeting four other longshots of +2700 or higher to make a strong run. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Genesis Invitational, and which massive longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Genesis Invitational odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Genesis Invitational odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Genesis Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +300
Rory McIlroy +1100
Xander Schauffele +1700
Tommy Fleetwood +1700
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2700
Collin Morikawa +2700
Russell Henley +3000
Si Woo Kim +3000
Cameron Young +3000
Ludvig Åberg +3500
Sam Burns +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Chris Gotterup +3500
Harris English +3500
Min Woo Lee +3500
Robert MacIntyre +4000
Sepp Straka +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Ben Griffin +4000
Viktor Hovland +4500
Justin Rose +4500
Rickie Fowler +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Adam Scott +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Akshay Bhatia +5500
Jordan Spieth +6000
Pierceson Coody +6000
Jason Day +6000
Ryan Gerard +6000
J.J. Spaun +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7500
Max Homa +7500
Nick Taylor +7500
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +8000
Wyndham Clark +8000
Jacob Bridgeman +8000
J.T. Poston +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
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