Super Bowl 2026 Props Guide: Odds, picks, trends and more

Drake Maye odds and stats

Maye’s postseason averages are suppressed by the snow-affected AFC Championship Game, where he threw for just 86 yards while completing 10 passes. He completed less than 60% of his passes just once during the regular season but has been below that mark in all three playoff games, and the matchup against another elite defense has caused his prop lines to be suppressed, with his yardage and completion lines well below his season averages. The pressure coming from Seattle’s talented front should have Maye on the move throughout the game.

Sam Darnold odds and stats

Darnold has been Under 200 passing yards six times this season, and outside of the Week 1 loss to the 49ers, the reason has been the team didn’t need much from the passing game, as the other five games have seen an average margin of victory of 22 points. The only competitive games where Darnold has failed to reach 240 yards have been that Week 1 loss and a 27-19 win over the Texans in Week 7, depending on whether you count the Week 18 game for the 1 seed where the 49ers had zero answers on offense.

More passing props

• Total pass attempts: 60+ (-120)
• Total pass completions: 40+ (-115)
• Highest completion percentage: Darnold -140, Maye +110
• Highest passer rating: Darnold -150, Maye +120
• Most pass completions: Darnold -125, Maye +100
• Flea flicker attempted: Yes +170, No -215
• Interception on play starting in red zone: Yes +125, No -160
• Seahawks attempt a pass from inside Patriots’ 1-yard line: Yes +700
• Patriots attempt a pass from inside Seahawks’ 1-yard line: Yes +1600

Rhamondre Stevenson odds and stats

While Stevenson has ascended to lead back status during the postseason, his playoff averages are tipped by the snowstorm game where he received 25 carries. He did have 16 carries against the Texans the previous week, so the books have set his attempts line relatively high. The reason his rush yardage line isn’t much higher than his regular-season average with less of a workload is that the Seahawks were the best team against the run in the regular season, allowing 3.7 yards per carry. If the Patriots fall behind and Stevenson doesn’t see the large volume of the last few weeks, he could struggle to hit 50 rushing yards for just the second time since Dec. 1.

TreVeyon Henderson odds and stats

Henderson had been working in about an even timeshare with Stevenson before suffering a shoulder injury against the Texans in the Divisional Round. While he was able to practice in the run-up to the AFC Championship and was active in the game, he received just three carries while playing four snaps. The extra week of rest leading up to the Super Bowl should allow him to resume his regular role. He had five carries in 12 straight games prior to barely playing against the Broncos.

Kenneth Walker odds and stats

Walker has taken on an elevated workload in the postseason as running mate Zach Charbonnet suffered a season-ending injury in the Divisional Round after seeing just five carries in the game. That’s allowed Walker to get 19 carries in both Seahawks playoff games, and he should again be the featured part of the offense in this matchup. Walker has also become a key part of the passing game, seeing multiple targets in five straight matchups (all against playoff teams) and catching all 16 of those targets. 

More rushing props

• Any player to have 100 rushing yards: Yes +115
• Any player to have 125 rushing yards: Yes +500
• Any player to have 150 rushing yards: Yes +1300
• Total rushing TDs: 2+ (-175), 3+ (+170)
• Total rushing attempts: 54+ (-105)
• Total first quarter rushing attempts: 12+ (-105)
• Patriots rushing yards Over/Under: 106.5
• Seahawks rushing yards Over/Under: 100.5

Stefon Diggs odds and stats

Diggs has struggled with tough defensive matchups and outdoor conditions this postseason, which have held him under 20 yards twice in three games. The Seahawks don’t represent an improvement from a matchup perspective, as their 111.7 yards per game allowed to wide receivers in the regular season is the second-best mark in the league, but at least conditions figure to be better for Diggs in Santa Clara. Diggs is likely to play a key role either in the Patriots getting an early lead or trying to rally from behind, and the results from his playoff games so far likely have his lines a bit lower than they should be.

Hunter Henry odds and stats

If Maye is going to have success in this game, he’s going to have to lean on his tight ends. The Seahawks allowed the sixth-most yardage to the position in the regular season at 63.5 yards per game, with tight ends securing an average of 6.18 receptions against Seattle. Colby Parkinson had a 40-yard catch against the Seahawks as part of a 62-yard day in the NFC Championship, while Jake Tonges led the 49ers in receiving the previous week with 59 yards on five catches. 

Kayshon Boutte odds and stats

Despite the Patriots’ tough playoff matchups, Boutte turned in two of his best performances of the season in the last three games, hitting big plays against the Chargers and Texans before disappearing like most of the Patriots’ passing game in the AFC Championship. While the big plays were par for the course in the first half of the season, Boutte had largely been quiet down the stretch, recording a catch of at least 17 yards in just one of his final six regular-season games.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba odds and picks

We loved Smith-Njigba’s receiving Over in the NFC Championship game as books were dealing it at 89.5 after a run of three disappointing stat lines for the star receiver. He had only missed 90 yards twice prior to that run, which featured three games where the passing offense didn’t have to do much, and that was unlikely to be the case against the Rams. Do the Patriots qualify as a similar opponent with an offense that has struggled throughout the postseason? The Patriots are one of 11 teams to average at least a touchdown per game allowed to wide receivers.

Cooper Kupp odds and stats

Kupp has seen at least five targets in each of the Seahawks’ two playoff games after hitting that number twice in his previous 11 games. Those two high-target games also happened to both be against the Rams. Kupp of course won Super Bowl MVP as a member of the Rams four years ago to cap off an incredible postseason that included 33 receptions, 488 yards and six touchdowns, but the NFC Championship was his first time reaching paydirt in the playoffs since that Super Bowl. It’s tough to bet against Kupp in big games, and he should be able to make at least one big play for Seattle.

Rashid Shaheed odds and stats

The multitalented Shaheed has scored two touchdowns since joining Seattle, both as a kick returner. He had no receiving impact in the Divisional Round but rushed twice for 27 yards against the 49ers, and his offensive impact in the NFC Championship came via a 51-yard reception, his only catch of the game. Shaheed has had multiple receptions in just three of his 11 games as a Seahawk, and with no Charbonnet for the Seahawks, his biggest offensive contributions may come as a runner in this game.

More receiving props

• Any player to have 100 receiving yards: Yes -250
• Any player to have 125 receiving yards: Yes +150
• Any player to have 150 receiving yards: Yes +450

Kicker props

• Longest field goal: Seahawks -110, Patriots +105, Neither/Tie +1700
• Will both teams make a 33+ yard field goal: Yes -125, No -105
• Longest made field goal yardage: 50.5
• Shortest made field goal yardage: 27.5
• Total field goal yardage: 135.5
• Total punts: 7.5
• Will there be a kickoff return TD: Yes +2200

Defensive player props

Touchdown scorers

Position to score first touchdown

• Wide receiver -110
• Running back/fullback +125
• Tight end +370
• Quarterback +1000
• Defense/special teams +1200
• Offensive lineman +5000 

First touchdown scorer trends