Everton have won just two games in eight in the Premier League.
They have taken just 2 points from home matches against Brentford, Wolves and Leeds United.
They have been without some key players for well over a month, and face the very real prospect of going the rest of the season without Jack Grealish.
And yet somehow, despite all the frustration and disappointment, they have picked up enough points to still be in the top half, just 3 points off the Top 6, and only 5 points behind 4th-place Manchester United.
Had Everton won on Monday, they would have moved into 7th place. As it is, they are 10th, but as the end of January approaches, they are right in the mix in one of the most congested races for European qualification in recent memory.
Just 10 points separate 4th place from 13th. Bournemouth are within two wins of 6th-place Liverpool.
There is a real opportunity here, because none of these teams really look capable of stringing together any kind of consistency.
Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United have the strongest squads of the bunch, and you would expect, when all things iron themselves out, that those three teams make up between 4th and 6th. But it is very likely European qualification will drop down to 7th, and there is a healthy chance that the 8th spot will be worth a place in next season’s Uefa Conference League.
So Everton are right in the mix. Whether you feel they are “ready” for Europe or not, or whether or not they are really good enough, is not the argument. They might not, on paper, be strong enough — but neither are Sunderland, or Brighton, or Bournemouth, or Fulham. And all of those teams are probably in the picture at the moment, too.
Opta’s supercomputer, which runs 10,000 predictions ahead of every matchday, ranks Everton’s Top 6 chances at 7.86%; their probability of a Top 7 finish stands at 14.83%, and the likelihood they are in the Top 8 come the end of May is 17.15%.
But this is with Everton’s current squad, and as mentioned, this is an Everton team that is only just getting some of its best players back, even if Grealish is going to be a big miss.
And this is an Everton team that has not been given any help, so far, in the January transfer window.
David Moyes continues to say that Everton are looking for opportunities in the market. They are drastically short at full-back, and now on the wings, and they are shorn of a back-up centre-forward that is capable of offering reliable support to Thierno Barry.
Could they get all of those positions of need filled in one winter window? Of course not, and that shouldn’t be expected.
But the seeming lack of urgency — or perhaps, even, just a tad too much caution — is frustrating, because there is a real opportunity here for Everton to get back where Moyes, and their fans, feel they belong.
Europe does not have to be the primary objective. But Everton are well clear of danger, and seasons like this do not come around every year. There is nothing wrong with having a rough aim, and a stretch target, and seeing where it ends up.
However, to achieve that stretch target, Everton’s squad needs a boost. It needs those one or two fresh faces, either on loan or cheaper deals, who are ready to come in and make an impact. Carlos Alcaraz is the perfect example — even if he had to work harder than perhaps he really should have had to, to earn Moyes’s trust, the Argentine came in last January and made his impact felt straight away, providing a versatile squad option and bringing energy and drive in midfield.
I wrote earlier this month that Everton could not allow their season to drift; even after the ups and downs of this dreary January, the campaign is still alive, just waiting for a spark.
Please, Everton, act. Do not be reckless; do not spend big money on a player now if you wouldn’t in the summer… but still, act. There are deals there to be done; players who would improve certain areas of this team (or squad), because the bar in those positions is so low.
Moyes has his critics, and some of that criticism is fair, but we should not lose perspective of how far Everton have come in a year. And the club should not let a fantastic opportunity pass them by, just because they were too caught up in ensuring the mistakes of yesteryear aren’t repeated.
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Posted
30/01/2026 at
12:54:59
This season is a real opportunity, and we are fucking crying out for full-backs and some pace on the wings. It’s been a weakness for years, and we’ve done nothing whatsoever to address it.
Having started the season with many of us content to see a season of mid-table mediocrity after years of squalor, there’s instead a real opportunity to take advantage of the league’s mediocrity this season, and we’re throwing it away.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:23:09
Or, how about we wait until Monday evening before we rush to judgement?
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:31:42
Wait and see is a losing strategy, as we’re seeing.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:31:56
Yes Id love us to get into Europe and finish as high as possible, but without the squad to do this next season it could be a poisoned chalice as it could impact us in the league next year. Slow and steady is fine for the next season and a half and then after weve been through 3 more transfer windows Id expect us to be in a much stronger squad position to really cope with Europe and the demands of the league.
Ill still be checking Sky Sports regularly on Monday though 😂
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:32:21
Im not sure we can have it all, but I think its a very fair question to ask our owners TSF, how much do you want success for Everton?
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:40:01
Wait till Monday?. The transfer window opened 30 days ago. But it’s Everton let’s wait till the last minute. And the way Moyes was talking in his presser. No one’s coming in.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:44:12
Rob, Id love it if wed signed two quality fullbacks and a worldie striker on Jan 1st, but theres been very little movement in this transfer window, the opportunities arent popping up until maybe last minute. We dont have the clout, yet, to steam in and snap up whoever we want on day one of the transfer window. Who knows whatll happen on Monday? Could be zilch, or Jhon Duran walks through the doors. But zilch is better than Cenk Tosun 2.0
Posted
30/01/2026 at
13:46:11
Good to see you post an opinion about football, Philip.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
14:05:11
Why, thank you Dale. Feel free to do the same.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
14:55:24
I know Im a broken record but this whole focus on Europe thing irritates me after Moyesy threw the league cup which was 6 games with a chance for Europe and a trophy, most of the games being before the AFCON. Versus 38 games with AFCON disruption. If youre going to get into Europe via the league you need to beat some good teams along the way. Ditto the league cup but the latter also throws up a few lesser opponents. So whats the path of least resistance? Lightning looks for the highest point to strike. If Moyes were a lightning bolt hed be aiming for the Mariana Trench.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
15:08:06
after taking over a team in the relegation zone why would you expect Moyes would be targeting winning the league cup a few months later.? Why would anyone think we stood a cat in hell’s chance of winning that? Ok it’s not impossible, but hardly within the reasonable expectations of a season. And he didn’t throw the game at Wolves, if I remember we had Grealish playing in that game and a host of first teasers, he wanted to win it, but hey, we went out to another PL team in an away game. Shit happens.
Posted
30/01/2026 at
15:41:07
Only a handful have done no January business whatsoever.
The majority have made incremental additions in an attempt to win the league, or gain a European place, or avoid relegation.
There is a modest opportunity this window to provide a little fresh impetus to your squad, even if only through loans. If you have the desire and the capability.
Theres still a little time left…
Posted
30/01/2026 at
18:25:38
Paul, Tony, and Ian quash the in Kinnear we mistrust wait till Monday pleading.
We’ve had thirty days and in that time we lost matches that we could/should have won that we might have one with a couple of new faces.
I can only quote Rob:
‘We ARE letting the season drift, and it comes down to a complete lack of ambition. The increased money from higher league placing would pay for incomings, and instead, TFG and the “transfer committee” are treading on their own dicks rather than helping the manager and the team’.
Cue the lecture from our resident TFG super fan
You lie Dale – 8 – surely, Devlin did not post something with a fleeting resemblance to football?
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