The 2026 Australian Open women’s finals take place at 3:35 a.m. on Saturday as Aryna Sabalenka faces Elena Rybakina. The top-seeded Sabalenka is a four-time Grand Slam winner, including both the 2023 and 2024 Australian Opens. She’s also won the U.S. Open twice (2024, 2025). The fifth-seeded Rybakina is looking for her second career Grand Slam win after winning Wimbledon in 2022. This is her second time as a finalist at the Australian Open as she also faced Sabalenka in the 2023 final.
The latest Sabalenka vs. Rybakina odds from DraftKings Sportsbook list Sabalenka as the -165 favorite (risk $165 to win $100), while Rybakina is the +135 underdog. The over/under for total games is 22.5. Before locking in your 2026 Australian Open women’s final picks for the first Grand Slam of the season, be sure to check out the top tennis betting picks from Onorato.
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Onorato has gone 168-106-8 (+107.12 units) on his best bets since 2022. He correctly called Jannik Sinner in the 2025 Australian Open (+160), Carlos Alcaraz (+130) in the 2025 French Open and Sinner again at 2025 Wimbledon (+180). He also called Coco Gauff (+700) in the 2025 French Open and Iga Swiatek (+1200) at 2025 Wimbledon. Anybody following his tennis betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
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Australian Open women’s final best bet:
- Sabalenka -2.5 games (-120)
“This final is a rematch of the 2023 classic, and once again it feels like the two best hard-court players in the world,” Onorato said. “Sabalenka has been flawless in Melbourne, not dropping a set and overpowering everyone in her path, including a routine win over Svitolina in the semifinals. Her baseline depth and ability to elevate on big points have been the difference all tournament.
“Rybakina arrives just as sharp, knocking out Swiatek and Pegula in straight sets behind her elite serve and first-strike aggression. She owns a slight edge in their hard-court meetings and beat Sabalenka at the 2025 WTA Finals, so this is anything but one-sided. That said, Sabalenka’s consistency in Melbourne finals and her ability to absorb pace and still dictate rallies give her the edge when pressure peaks.”
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