LeBron James is returning to Cleveland on Wednesday night as the Lakers play the Cavaliers, and there’s no debating how important Cleveland has been to James throughout his life. Given the uncertainty about whether this will be his last NBA season or not, Wednesday could mark LeBron’s final NBA game played in Cleveland, and the SportsLine Projection Model expects him to put on a show for the Cleveland locals. The model expects his elite passing ability to shine on Wednesday, making James Over 6.5 assists as one of its top NBA player props for Wednesday. The model is also backing Raptors forward RJ Barrett Over 14.5 points and Spurs phenom Victor Wembanyama Under 23.5 points in its best NBA props for Wednesday.
Targeting NBA player props will be a popular way to approach Wednesday’s NBA betting at online sports betting sites. With NBA odds available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, the model can help you find value to add to your Wednesday NBA picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the DraftKings promo code, where new users can bet $5, and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet of at least $5 wins:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 37-16 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Best NBA player prop picks on Wednesday:
- LeBron James, Lakers, Over 6.5 assists
- RJ Barrett, Raptors, Over 14.5 points
- Victor Wembanyama, Spurs, Under 23.5 points
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LeBron James, Lakers, Over 6.5 assists (+116)
James has gone Under this total in three straight games, but he’s still averaging 6.7 assists per game, including 6.9 assists in 13 January contests. He went Over this number in each of the three games prior to going Under it in three straight, and he’s gone Over 6.5 assists in four of his last eight contests. Now, add in what playing in Cleveland means for James in what could be his final NBA season and trip to Cleveland, and the model projects James for a strong statistical performance in nearly all categories. He’s averaging seven assists over his last four games against the Cavaliers, and at plus-money odds, the model sees value in backing James on Wednesday. The model projects him for 6.9 assists, and you can find the best value at FanDuel.
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RJ Barrett, Raptors, Over 14.5 points (-104)
Barrett continues to ramp up after missing two weeks with an ankle injury, but he’s coming off scoring 14 points in just 21 minutes on Sunday. With two full days off and Wednesday marking his third game back, the model projects both a minutes and scoring increase for the 25-year-old who is averaging 19 ppg this season. Barrett went Over this total in 10 of 11 games before his injury. The Raptors play the Knicks, who have allowed more than 105 points in eight of their last 10 games, and the model projects Barrett for 18 points against the team that traded him away.
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Victor Wembanyama, Spurs, Under 23.5 points (-123)
The 22-year-old is undeniably one of the top talents in the NBA, but the model projects him to have a tough time against a Rockets team that also has the size, athleticism and versatility to battle his strengths. The Rockets have the No. 4 scoring defense (110.5 ppg allowed), and they can throw a combination of Kevin Durant (6-11), Jabari Smith Jr. (6-11) or Alperen Sengun (6-11) at Wemby. Both their starting guards are at least 6-7, so the Rockets can switch on and off the Spurs’ phenom and make him work for open looks and drives. Wemby has gone Under this total in two of his last three games, and in each of his last four games against Houston. He averages 17 ppg over his career against the Rockets, going Over this total just once in nine matchups. The model projects him for 20.3 points, and DraftKings has the best odds, with other sportsbooks juicing the Under odds to -130.
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Want more Wednesday NBA picks?
You’ve seen the model’s NBA picks for some popular NBA player props for Wednesday. Now, get against the spread, total and money line picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
NBA expert Prop Bet Guy is 65-43 (+1532) in his last 108 NBA player prop picks this season. See his latest NBA predictions here.
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