The reigning league MVP squares off against a four-time winner of the award in Week 13 of the 2025 NFL season as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills visit Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Both teams stormed out of the gate before stalling of late, as Buffalo (7-4) has lost four of its last seven games following a 4-0 start while Pittsburgh (6-5) has dropped four of its past six after winning four of its first five contests. Rodgers is expected to play despite a fractured left wrist he suffered two weeks ago.
For Sunday’s matchup between the Bills and Steelers, top sportsbooks have set the passing yards prop for Buffalo’s Allen at 232.5 yards, DK Metcalf of Pittsburgh has his receiving yards prop set at 46.5.
Before you play a side on Allen, Metcalf or any player prop for Week 13 of the NFL season, you need to see what SportsLine player prop expert PropBetGuy has to say. The expert is +1017 on his last 21 NFL player prop picks. Here are his picks and analysis.
Michael Pittman Jr. Under 18.5 yards longest reception (-115, DraftKings)
Pittman was Under this longest reception line in seven of 11 games this season. He’s served as a reliable intermediate target for Daniel Jones with an average depth of target of just 8.4 yards – but only six of his 77 targets have gone for 20+ air yards.
Pittman will draw a brutal matchup against a Texans secondary that’s only allowed receivers lined up wide eight catches of at least 20 air yards this season, at the third-lowest catch rate (per Fantasy Points Data).
And Houston is only allowing 4.8 yards after contact per reception, the 12th-lowest mark in the league. I’d bet this down to Under 17.5 yards.
Kirk Cousins Under 191.5 passing yards (-113, DraftKings)
Cousins was Under this passing yards line in one of his two starts, with the Over coming against the New Orleans Saints’ bottom-of-the-barrel pass defense last week.
In Week 13, he’ll face the New York Jets, who have maintained their average pass defense rating even after dealing away Sauce Gardner (6.1 pass yards per attempt over their last three games).
Throw in what’s likely to remain a neutral-to-positive game script for the Falcons, meaning Atlanta will rely heavily on Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier in the running game. Plus, Falcons leading receiver Drake London remains out this week with a knee injury.
I might have bet on this Under here in sunny conditions, but I’ll take the rain and windy weather that’s being forecasted. I’d bet this down to Under 184.5 passing yards.
Kenneth Walker III Over 64.5 rushing yards (-114, DraftKings)
Walker has cleared this line in seven of his 11 games this season.
Seattle’s coaches have continually hinted at getting Walker more touches and he saw his highest snap share of the season (63%) last week. The issue was that there weren’t that many snaps for the Seahawks (47), but that should change against the Vikings.
Minnesota is allowing the 13th-most plays per game at 62.1 and the most running back carries at 27 per contest. Walker should be in line for a full workload as I expect the Vikings to struggle offensively with Max Brosmer under center. I’d bet this up to Over 68.5 yards.
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