Alabama vs. Florida State same-game parlay picks, SGP odds: Model’s free college football bets for Week 1

The No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide start their 2025 campaign on the road against the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday. Kalen DeBoer’s team enters Week 1 on the heels of a 9-4 season and looks to keep trending upward. They visit a Seminoles side that is coming off a very disappointing 2024 season where they finished at the bottom of the ACC with a 2-10 record. 

Kickoff from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Crimson Tide are 13.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Florida State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 50.5. Before making any Florida State vs. Alabama picks or same-game parlays, be sure to see the Week 1 college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model and check out the latest college football odds. Bet on Alabama vs. Florida State at bet365, where you can get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet with the latest bet365 bonus code:

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and was a profitable 27-16 combined on money-line and over/under college football picks in 2024. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Here are the model’s top SGP picks for Alabama vs. Florida State:

• Alabama -13.5
• Alabama Over 31.5
• Florida State Under 17.5
• Parlay odds +546

New users can check out the latest bet365 bonus code to get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

Alabama -13.5

Alabama was 7-6-0 against the spread last season while Florida State went 2-8-2 ATS. DeBoer’s team covered in five scenarios last season where the point spread was set at 14 points or higher. The SportsLine model has the Crimson Tide covering the spread on Saturday in 58% of simulations.

Alabama Over 31.5

The Crimson Tide have one of the best offensive lines in college football and should give quarterback Ty Simpson room to settle into the first start of his college career. He teams up with star wideout Ryan Williams, who had 48 catches for 865 yards and eight touchdowns in 2024. The Seminoles held opponents to a division-low 201.3 passing yards per game last season but aren’t expected to keep the Tide off the scoreboard. The model projects Alabama will score 33 points on Saturday. You can find this team total at bet365, where you can get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

Florida State Under 17.5

The Under hit in nine of the Seminoles games last season, with the total being set at 50 or higher each time. They scored 17 or fewer points 10 times last season regardless of the game’s outcome. This prop is available at bet365, where you can get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

Want more college football picks for Week 1?

You’ve seen the model’s top Alabama vs. Florida State SGP picks for Week 1. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every Week 1 CFB game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times. 

Want more from SportsLine? See the top Week 1 college football picks from college football expert Bruce Marshall, who is on a 56-34-3 roll (+1833) on his last 93 CFB ATS picks.