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Free MLB picks, predictions, best bets for Friday, August 1: Back the Rangers and Tigers to pull off upsets

Free MLB picks, predictions, best bets for Friday, August 1: Back the Rangers and Tigers to pull off upsets

The Texas Rangers and the Seattle Mariners are set to begin a pivotal four-game series during Friday’s MLB schedule. Texas defeated the Los Angeles Angels 6-3 in their last game, snapping a two-game skid. The Mariners fell 5-4 to the Oakland Athletics on July 30. The Rangers are +145 underdogs in Friday MLB odds, which is one of the longshots that SportsLine’s model is targeting. 

Another underdog, according to the latest MLB odds for Friday, is the Tigers, who are priced at +128 on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies. Before making any MLB picks or building any MLB parlays, you’ll want to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer simulation model. Bet on every MLB game at DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can get $150 in bonus bets instantly with the latest DraftKings promo code:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 19 of the 2025 MLB season a profitable 27-22 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning more than 40 units of profit. Anybody following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns. Also see the model’s Brewers vs. Nationals picks.

The model has broken down the MLB betting odds for Friday and just revealed its top MLB longshot picks. Combining the model’s three picks into an MLB parlay at BetMGM Sportsbook would result in a payout of +1251 (risk $100 to win $1,251). New users can even take advantage of the BetMGM bonus code offering up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first bet loses. Click here to claim the offer. 

Here are its best longshot bets for the MLB slate on Friday

  • Rangers money line vs. Mariners (+145)
  • Brent Rooker to record over 0.5 RBI (+145)
  • Tigers money line vs. Phillies (+125)
  • Combine these picks for a shot at a +1251 payout (odds subject to change). Bet now at BetMGM, where you can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if you don’t win.

Rangers money line vs. Mariners (+145)

Texas has won seven of its last nine games. On Wednesday, the Rangers beat the Angels 6-3, and Adolis Garcia belted a two-run homer in the victory. Seattle has lost three of its last four outings, including that 5-4 loss at the hands of the Oakland Athletics. Kumar Rocker takes the mound for the Rangers, while owning a 5.73 ERA. Texas is also 30-26 after a win. The model projects Texas winning in 40% of the simulations, making the Rangers the value play as underdogs.

Brent Rooker to record over 0.5 RBI (+145)

Booker is tied for 13th in the MLB in home runs (23), while leading the team in RBI (62) and hits (118). His RBI over/under is listed at 0.5, and that number has been cleared in four of his last five games. On Wednesday against the Mariners, Rooker went 2-of-4 with a solo home run. 

Tigers money line vs. Phillies (+125)

After a long six-game losing streak, the Tigers bounced back and found their step. Detroit is on a four-game winning streak, taking down the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-2 on July 30. They sit at 64-46 on the season. Meanwhile, Philadelphia logs a 61-47 record after losing three of its last four games. The Chicago White Sox defeated the Phillies 9-3 in Wednesday’s clash. Jack Flaherty, with 137 Ks this season, starts for the Tigers. The model has Detroit winning 37% of simulations, making this an underdog worth backing.

Want more MLB picks for today?

You’ve seen some of the model’s MLB best longshot bets for Friday. Now, get run line, total and money-line picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times. 

Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s top MLB picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who’s on a sizzling 70-62-1 roll on his last 133 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up nearly 14 units. 




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