The second major of the year will begin on Thursday, May 15 when the 2025 PGA Championship gets underway at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte. This will mark the second time since 2017 that Quail Hollow has hosted the PGA Championship. Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are the PGA Championship favorites at +500 (risk $100 to win $500) in the latest 2025 PGA Championship odds. Should you back Scheffler or McIlroy to defeat the 2025 PGA Championship field, or should you target a longshot like Jordan Spieth (40-1) or Jason Day (55-1)? Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship picks of your own, or entering any 2025 PGA Championship DFS picks on sites like FanDuel, DraftKings, and PrizePicks, be sure to see the early golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 PGA Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2025: Collin Morikawa (14-1), a two-time major winner, including being the 2020 PGA champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. Morikawa is coming off a 14th-place tie at the Masters, marking the third straight major tournament he failed to place in the top 10. This ties the longest drought of his career, and he’s failed to even crack the top 25 in two of his last three PGA Championship starts.
Quail Hollow checks in at over 7,500 yards, making it the sixth-longest course in the 2025 PGA Tour season. That length could be an issue for Morikawa, who ranks just 163rd (out of 183 qualified golfers) in driving distance. Morikawa is also struggling in the short game, as once he steps foot onto the green, he ranks just 128th in total putting. It’s been 18 months since Morikawa won any event on any tour, and the model isn’t high on his prospects for the 2025 PGA Championship.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas is no stranger to success on the major championship stage, and has two PGA Championship wins already on his career resume. The former Alabama standout also recently won the RBC Heritage, a signature event that featured an elite field.
Thomas is currently sitting at No. 6 in the Official World Golf Ranking. In 2025, he has five top-10 finishes, and ranks highly in several key metrics. Thomas ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.559), seventh in strokes gained on approach (0.852), and 10th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.100). At 20-1 odds at a course and tournament where he’s had previous success, he could hold value for 2025 PGA Championship bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including the last four Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 PGA Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +500
Rory McIlroy +500
Bryson DeChambeau +1000
Ludvig Aberg +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Jon Rahm +1800
Justin Thomas +2000
Brooks Koepka +2000
Viktor Hovland +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Joaquin Niemann +35000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Will Zalatoris +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Wyndham Clark +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Cameron Smith +4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Tony Finau +4500
Cameron Young +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Jason Day +5500
Sahith Theegala +5500
Justin Rose +5500
Tom Kim +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Max Homa +6000
Sam Burns +6000
Matt Fitzpatrick +6000
Dustin Johnson +6000
Akhshay Bhatia +6500
Byeong-Hun An +6600
Patrick Reed +7500
Si Woo Kim +8000
Talor Gooch +8000
Nick Dunlap +8000
Adam Scott +10000
Keegan Bradley +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Tiger Woods +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Nicolai Hojgaard +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
Harris English +15000
Doug Ghim +17500
Keith Mitchell +17500
Denny McCarthy +20000
Lucas Glover +20000
Eric Cole +20000
Jake Knapp +20000
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