2025 NBA Finals odds, Game 7 prediction: Pacers vs. Thunder picks, best bets by NBA expert on 168-91 roll

The NBA championship will be decided when the Indiana Pacers battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Sunday. Indiana forced the series to go the distance with a 108-91 win on Thursday. The Pacers (50-32), who are seeking their first championship since winning the 1973 ABA title, are 7-4 on the road during the 2025 NBA playoffs. The Thunder (68-14), who can win their first championship since moving to Oklahoma City in 2008, are 10-2 on their home floor this postseason.

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 8 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City has won five of eight meetings this season. The Thunder are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 215.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is SportsLine’s No. 1 expert and is on a huge 168-91 roll on his NBA picks that have returned more than 35 units.

Now, Severance has analyzed Pacers vs. Thunder and just revealed his coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers. New users can utilize a DraftKings promo code, a FanDuel promo code or a BetMGM promo code to get started. 

Why the Thunder can cover

Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the NBA MVP, helps power the Oklahoma City offense. He is coming off a 21-point performance with four rebounds and two assists in the Game 6 loss. He registered a double-double with 31 points and 10 assists with four blocks, two steals and two rebounds in the 120-109 win over Indiana in Game 5. In 22 playoff starts, he is averaging 30 points, 6.3 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 1.7 steals in 36.9 minutes.

Also helping lead the Thunder is forward Jalen Williams. He had a playoff-high 40 points with six rebounds and four assists in a Game 5 win. He poured in 27 points, while grabbing seven rebounds and dishing out three assists in a 111-104 win at Indiana in Game 4. In 22 playoff games, all starts, he is averaging 21.5 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.9 assists and 1.4 steals in 34.5 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Pacers can cover

Six Indiana players are averaging double-digit scoring this postseason, led by power forward Pascal Siakam. In 22 playoff starts, he is averaging 20.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.2 steals in 33.4 minutes. He registered a double-double in Game 6, scoring 16 points, while grabbing 13 rebounds and dishing out three assists. He poured in 28 points, while adding six rebounds, five assists, three steals and two blocks in Game 5.

Point guard Tyrese Haliburton, who is battling a leg injury, is another key component to the Pacers’ offense. In 22 postseason games, all starts, he is averaging 17.7 points, nine assists, 5.6 rebounds and 1.4 steals in 34.8 minutes. Despite being limited, Haliburton scored 14 points with five assists and two steals in Thursday’s win. He had a near triple-double in Game 3, scoring 22 points, dishing out 11 assists and grabbing nine rebounds. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Pacers vs. Thunder picks

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Game 7 of Thunder vs. Pacers. He is leaning Under the total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side a must-back. You should see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6, and what X-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the expert who is up 35 units on his NBA picks, and find out.