The 2025 Ambetter Health 400 will be held on Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway and the NASCAR Cup Series season is already off to a memorable start. William Byron avoided a last-lap crash to become the fifth back-to-back Daytona 500 champion in history. Now, NASCAR will head to the 1.54-mile oval at Atlanta Motor Speedway, which has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1960 and has hosted a total 121 Cup races. How will the shift to a speedway impact the racing and who are the top options in the 2025 NASAR at Atlanta Motor Speedway starting lineup?
The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano are +950 favorites in the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 odds from FanDuel. Meanwhile, Byron is a +1700 longshot in the NASCAR at Atlanta Motor Speedway odds despite his victory last week and two previous wins in Atlanta. Before entering any 2025 Ambetter Health 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot last week at Daytona. In 2024, it nailed Kyle Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 19 winners since 2021, including nine in 2023 and three in the first seven races last season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the Ambetter Health 400 2025 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard.
Top 2025 Ambetter Health 400 predictions
For the 2025 Ambetter Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Daniel Suarez, even though he’s a longshot at +2500 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Despite starting in 36th position last week at Daytona, Suarez guided the No. 99 Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet into the front half of the field last week and earned an impressive 13th-place finish.
The 33-year-old Mexican driver is a two-time winner in the NASCAR Cup Series and one of those victories came at Atlanta Motor Speedway in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400. He was also a runner-up in the fall races at Atlanta in 2023 and 2024 and has only finished worse than sixth once in his last five starts on this track.
And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup. Logano is the reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion and he’s only the 10th driver in the history of the sport to win three season-long titles. However, he squandered a decent opportunity to win a third Daytona 500 last week and has been inconsistent in Atlanta throughout his career.
Logano started 10th and led 43 laps last week in the Great American Race but got caught up in a crash on Lap 187 and wound up finishing 35th. He’s a two-time winner at Atlanta Motor Speedway, but he’s also finished outside the top 10 in 14 of his 22 career Cup starts there, including a 28th-place finish in the spring race a season ago. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta Motor Speedway picks
The model is also targeting three drivers with Atlanta NASCAR odds longer than 16-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Ambetter Health 400 2025, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 19 winners, including Chase Elliott’s win at the 2025 Clash at Bowman Gray.
2025 NASCAR Atlanta odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Atlanta picks at SportsLine.
Ryan Blaney +950
Joey Logano +950
Kyle Busch +1300
Austin Cindric +1300
Chase Elliott +1400
Brad Keselowski +1500
Denny Hamlin +1500
William Byron +1600
Daniel Suarez +1800
Christopher Bell +1800
Kyle Larson +1800
Bubba Wallace +2000
Chris Buescher +2200
Chase Briscoe +2200
Ross Chastain +2200
Tyler Reddick +2500
Alex Bowman +2800
Ty Gibbs +3000
Ryan Preece +3500
Justin Haley +4000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +4000
Michael McDowell +4000
Erik Jones +4000
Todd Gilliland +4000
Corey Lajoie +4500
Josh Berry +5000
AJ Allmendinger +5000
Noah Gragson +6500
Austin Dillon +6500
Riley Herbst +7500
Cole Custer +7500
Ty Dillon +7500
Shane Van Gisbergen +10000
Carson Hocevar +10000
Zane Smith +10000
John Hunter Nemechek +10000
Cody Ware +25000
JJ Yeley +50000
BJ McLeod +50000
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