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2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 16 majors

2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 16 majors

Cameron Young broke through for his first PGA Tour title at the Wyndham Championship last week, setting the stage for the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship this week, which marks the beginning of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The top 70 golfers are competing in the first of three tournaments to claim the FedEx Cup trophy, but Rory McIlroy opted out of the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship field. TPC Southwind in Memphis has hosted the event the last three years, and it is the host site again this year. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the +280 favorite (risk $100 to win $280) in the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds ahead of Thursday’s opening round. 

Some of the other 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship contenders include Xander Schauffele (16-1), Justin Thomas (22-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (25-1). Which golfers should you back with your 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship bets? Before locking in any 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. They can also target the DraftKings promo code, which offers new users $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:

Now that the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. 

2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship: Collin Morikawa, a two-time major champion and one of the favorites, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top 10. Morikawa opened his PGA Tour career with a historic 22 made cuts in a row, second only behind Tiger Woods’ 25-cut streak. He won major titles in 2020 and 2021, but he has only won one tournament since then (2023 Zozo Championship). 

Morikawa has missed the cut three times this season and only has four top-10 finishes in 16 events. In fact, he is coming off back-to-back missed cuts at the Genesis Scottish Open and the Open Championship. Morikawa ranks 129th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained from putting and 121st in scrambling, so the model is fading him this week. See who else to fade here, and then use FanDuel to get $150 in bonus bets instantly. 

Another one of the model’s surprising FedEx St. Jude Championship picks: Sam Burns makes a strong run, despite being a +3500 longshot. Burns is amid one of the best seasons of his career, posting personal-best finishes in both the U.S. Open (T7) and PGA Championship (T19). He also finished second to Ryan Fox in a playoff at the RBC Canadian Open, which was one of 10 top-25 finishes for him this season. 

Burns finished T5 in the CJ Cup Byron Nelson and T8 in the Sentry. He has made the cut in 12 straight tournaments and ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained from putting. Burns finished T5 in the FedEx St. Jude Championship last year, so the model likes his chances of contending again this week. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here. 

Who will win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. 

(FanDuel odds subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +280
Xander Schauffele +1600
Justin Thomas +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Ludvig Aberg +2800
Collin Morikawa +3000
Viktor Hovland +3000
Russell Henley +3000
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Sam Burns +3500
Cameron Young +3500
Ben Griffin +4000
Sepp Straka +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Hideki Matsuyama +4500
Harris English +4500
Keegan Bradley +4500
Chris Gotterup +5000
Jordan Spieth +5000
Harry Hall +5000
J.J. Spaun +5000
Daniel Berger +5000
Robert MacIntyre +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Wyndham Clark +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Jake Knapp +5500
Aaron Rai +6000
Jason Day +6500
Kurt Kitayama +7000
Akshay Bhatia +7500
Denny McCarthy +7500
Max Greyserman +7500
Taylor Pendrith +7500
Justin Rose +9000
Nick Taylor +9000
Rickie Fowler +9000
J.T. Poston +9000
Lucas Glover +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Min Woo Lee +10000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Sungjae Im +10000
Kevin Yu +11000
Michael Kim +12000
Ryan Fox +12000
Andrew Novak +15000
Tony Finau +15000




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